Interesting article if you like numbersA bit more on modeling. It appear most of the modeling came from the Imperial College study. This must have frightened many people. Now, there is pushback. Unlike the climate change world, I see no "consensus" that any model is right? Anyone see a consensus? Another study from the UK
The initial takeaway seems concerning, but if the modeling is correct it would mean minuscule hospitalization rates and even smaller mortality rates.nymag.com
The actual paper is here Draft-COVID-19-Model (13).pdf
I don't know understand it but its pushback. Seems like half the country already has it and didn't even know it. I got no idea if thats true.
And another model This model predicts the last day each state can act before the point of no return
And here is pushback saying those predictions don't match reality. You have to click it to read the thread then click show thread. The predictions are way off. Look at the NY numbers. They are way off.
Some smart people need to sort this out. Meanwhile, winter of 17/18, 80,000 died from the Flu in the US